Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Case / Shiller Home Price Indicies

Price declines show little sign of abating. In addition, the geographic areas that have been hit the hardest continue to underperform.

The 10 city index recorded a 1 month decline of 1.1% and a 12 month decline of 17.7% and the 20 city index recorded declines of 1% and 16.6%. Both measures represent an acceleration of price declines.

The indices are benchmarked to 100 for January, 2000.


City

% Change

Annualized

DC-Washington

94.9%

8.1%

NY-New York

92.8%

8.0%

CA-Los Angeles

89.2%

7.7%

FL-Miami

83.5%

7.3%

WA-Seattle

75.2%

6.8%

FL-Tampa

74.3%

6.7%

OR-Portland

71.9%

6.5%

CA-San Diego

68.2%

6.3%

MA-Boston

62.8%

5.8%

CA-San Francisco

51.4%

5.0%

NV-Las Vegas

50.5%

4.9%

IL-Chicago

49.5%

4.8%

AZ-Phoenix

44.8%

4.4%

MN-Minneapolis

41.9%

4.2%

CO-Denver

32.6%

3.3%

NC-Charlotte

32.1%

3.3%

GA-Atlanta

24.8%

2.6%

TX-Dallas

22.9%

2.4%

OH-Cleveland

10.5%

1.2%

MI-Detroit

-7.6%

-0.9%



I would guess that declines in Florida will be the most likely to continue, based on relative supply compared to the price appreciation experienced since 2000.

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