So much for homebuilder optimism. Housing starts fell to a seasonally adjusted, annualized rate of 458,000 from 525,000 last month. The below graph tracks the unadjusted monthly number, to attain a sense of the seasonal peaks & valleys.
On average, starts peak in May and bottom in December. No surprise there. What should be troubling to the "green shooters" is how the number may be turning over. A peak in March would certainly dampen the case for a recovering housing market.
Tuesday, May 19, 2009
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http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=asWLID20AM08&refer=home
It seems that both the housing start and building permit data were all time lows.
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